Final Score: Rays 4 - Blue Jays 2
Wednesday, July 22, 2026 at 7:07 PM ET

Rays @ Blue Jays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rays
58-42 Rating 1521
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Toronto Blue Jays +0.1
Blue Jays
46-55 Rating 1507
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rays Blue Jays
All-time wins 270 217
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.7 4.4
Last meeting 12 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Rays Blue Jays
Games played 100 101
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.6
Win percentage 58% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 46%