Final Score: Blue Jays 4 - Red Sox 6
Friday, July 24, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET
Blue Jays @ Red Sox
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Blue Jays | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 344 | 403 |
| Last 5 meetings | 5 | 0 |
| Average runs | 4.8 | 4.9 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 3 |
| Stat | Blue Jays | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 103 | 101 |
| Avg runs scored | 3.9 | 4.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.5 | 3.8 |
| Win percentage | 46% | 51% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 45% | 45% |
Recent Results
Blue Jays
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 23, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 22, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 21, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 14
2-12
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
vs Chicago White Sox
Jul 19, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
vs Chicago White Sox
Jul 18, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
vs Chicago White Sox
Jul 17, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 16
4-12
@ San Diego Padres
Jul 12, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ San Diego Padres
Jul 11, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 15
7-8
@ San Diego Padres
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
Red Sox
vs Baltimore Orioles
Jul 22, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs Baltimore Orioles
Jul 22, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Baltimore Orioles
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 19, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 18, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 17, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 17, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 10
10-0
@ New York Mets
Jul 12, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ New York Mets
Jul 11, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ New York Mets
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2