Final Score: Nationals 2 - Braves 6
Friday, July 31, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET

Nationals @ Braves

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
55-55 Rating 1467
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +0.9
Braves
64-45 Rating 1531
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Braves
All-time wins 391 438
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.5
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Braves
Games played 110 109
Avg runs scored 5.5 4.9
Avg runs conceded 5.2 4.0
Win percentage 50% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 60% 62%