Final Score: Nationals 4 - Braves 5
Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET
Nationals @ Braves
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Nationals | Braves |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 391 | 437 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.3 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 1 |
| Stat | Nationals | Braves |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 109 | 108 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.5 | 4.9 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.2 | 4.0 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 58% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 62% | 62% |
Recent Results
Nationals
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 28, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 14
8-6
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 27, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 26, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 17
10-7
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 25, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 24, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Colorado Rockies
Jul 22, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 8
8-0
@ Colorado Rockies
Jul 21, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 15
7-8
@ Colorado Rockies
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
@ Athletics
Jul 19, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
Braves
@ New York Mets
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
@ New York Mets
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ New York Mets
Jul 27, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 17
3-14
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jul 26, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jul 25, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jul 24, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
vs San Diego Padres
Jul 23, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs San Diego Padres
Jul 22, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
vs San Diego Padres
Jul 21, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
vs San Diego Padres
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2