Final Score: Phillies 8 - Orioles 0
Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET

Phillies @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
58-53 Rating 1538
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.2
Orioles
54-57 Rating 1500
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Orioles
All-time wins 36 42
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.6 5.0
Last meeting 5 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Orioles
Games played 111 111
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.8
Win percentage 52% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 52%