Final Score: Blue Jays 7 - Phillies 5
Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 6:05 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
55-62 Rating 1512
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.5
Phillies
62-55 Rating 1540
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Phillies
All-time wins 52 42
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.1 4.8
Last meeting 5 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Phillies
Games played 117 117
Avg runs scored 3.9 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.4
Win percentage 47% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 52%