Final Score: Blue Jays 0 - Astros 0
Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 8:10 PM ET
Blue Jays @ Astros
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
Blue Jays
| Scenario | Playoffs | Division | Pennant | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 7% | <1% | 1% | <1% |
| If Win | 9% | <1% | 1% | <1% |
| If Lose | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Astros
| Scenario | Playoffs | Division | Pennant | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 62% | 49% | 12% | 4% |
| If Win | 68% | 53% | 12% | 5% |
| If Lose | 55% | 46% | 10% | 3% |
| Stat | Blue Jays | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 39 | 50 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 3.8 | 5.1 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 1 |
| Stat | Blue Jays | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 113 | 114 |
| Avg runs scored | 3.9 | 4.6 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.4 | 4.9 |
| Win percentage | 47% | 51% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 46% | 51% |
Recent Results
Blue Jays
@ Houston Astros
Aug 3, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 2, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 1, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 31, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 28, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 14
6-8
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 27, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Boston Red Sox
Jul 26, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Boston Red Sox
Jul 25, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 6
6-0
@ Boston Red Sox
Jul 24, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
Astros
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 3, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Texas Rangers
Aug 2, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs Texas Rangers
Aug 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Texas Rangers
Jul 31, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 13
11-2
@ Los Angeles Angels
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
@ Los Angeles Angels
Jul 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Los Angeles Angels
Jul 27, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
@ Chicago White Sox
Jul 26, 2026 · Margin: -9 · Total: 15
3-12
@ Chicago White Sox
Jul 25, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Chicago White Sox
Jul 24, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 14
9-5