Final Score: Blue Jays 3 - Astros 1
Monday, August 3, 2026 at 8:10 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
52-60 Rating 1509
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.4
Astros
58-55 Rating 1522
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Astros
All-time wins 38 50
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 3.8 5.1
Last meeting 1 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Astros
Games played 112 113
Avg runs scored 3.9 4.7
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.9
Win percentage 46% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 52%