Final Score: Blue Jays 5 - Phillies 4
Friday, August 7, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET
Blue Jays @ Phillies
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Blue Jays | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 51 | 42 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 5.1 | 4.8 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 7 |
| Stat | Blue Jays | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 116 | 116 |
| Avg runs scored | 3.9 | 4.4 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.4 | 4.4 |
| Win percentage | 47% | 53% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 46% | 53% |
Recent Results
Blue Jays
@ Chicago Cubs
Aug 6, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Houston Astros
Aug 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Houston Astros
Aug 4, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
@ Houston Astros
Aug 3, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 2, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 1, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 31, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 28, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 14
6-8
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 27, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
Phillies
vs Washington Nationals
Aug 6, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs Washington Nationals
Aug 5, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 14
4-10
vs Washington Nationals
Aug 4, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
vs Washington Nationals
Aug 3, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Baltimore Orioles
Aug 2, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 8
8-0
@ Baltimore Orioles
Aug 1, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jul 31, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 14
6-8
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 28, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 27, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 15
7-8