Final Score: Cubs 4 - Cardinals 2
Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET
Cubs @ Cardinals
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Cubs | Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 471 | 481 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.2 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 3 |
| Stat | Cubs | Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 108 | 108 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.2 | 4.4 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.4 | 4.5 |
| Win percentage | 56% | 50% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 55% | 47% |
Recent Results
Cubs
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 28, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 12
10-2
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 27, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 26, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 15
7-8
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 25, 2026 · Margin: +11 · Total: 11
11-0
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 24, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Detroit Tigers
Jul 22, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs Detroit Tigers
Jul 21, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 13
11-2
vs Detroit Tigers
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 14
6-8
vs Minnesota Twins
Jul 19, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 11
10-1
Cardinals
vs Chicago Cubs
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Chicago Cubs
Jul 28, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 12
2-10
vs Chicago Cubs
Jul 27, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
vs Cincinnati Reds
Jul 26, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Cincinnati Reds
Jul 25, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 7
7-0
vs Cincinnati Reds
Jul 24, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 23, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 16
6-10
@ Los Angeles Angels
Jul 22, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
@ Los Angeles Angels
Jul 21, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Los Angeles Angels
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3