Final Score: Tigers 2 - Cubs 11
Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 8:05 PM ET

Tigers @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Tigers
47-53 Rating 1497
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.6
Cubs
56-44 Rating 1534
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Tigers Cubs
All-time wins 25 16
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.4 5.0
Last meeting 8 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Tigers Cubs
Games played 100 100
Avg runs scored 4.3 5.1
Avg runs conceded 3.9 4.5
Win percentage 47% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 58%