Final Score: Tigers 5 - Cubs 1
Wednesday, July 22, 2026 at 8:10 PM ET

Tigers @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Tigers
47-54 Rating 1495
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.7
Cubs
57-44 Rating 1536
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Tigers Cubs
All-time wins 25 17
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.3 5.2
Last meeting 2 11

Key Season Stats

Stat Tigers Cubs
Games played 101 101
Avg runs scored 4.2 5.1
Avg runs conceded 4.0 4.5
Win percentage 47% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 59%