Final Score: Twins 5 - Cubs 2
Friday, July 17, 2026 at 8:05 PM ET

Twins @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Twins
48-49 Rating 1475
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.9
Cubs
54-42 Rating 1536
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Twins Cubs
All-time wins 22 24
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.1 4.8
Last meeting 1 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Twins Cubs
Games played 97 96
Avg runs scored 4.9 5.0
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.5
Win percentage 49% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 59%