Final Score: Cubs 5 - Reds 3
Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET
Cubs @ Reds
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Cubs | Reds |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 386 | 415 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.7 | 4.6 |
| Last meeting | 0 | 4 |
| Stat | Cubs | Reds |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 94 | 93 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.0 | 4.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.5 | 4.8 |
| Win percentage | 55% | 46% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 52% | 46% |
Recent Results
Cubs
@ Cincinnati Reds
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 16
9-7
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: -16 · Total: 18
1-17
vs San Diego Padres
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: +20 · Total: 26
23-3
vs San Diego Padres
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 16
9-7
vs San Diego Padres
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
Reds
vs Chicago Cubs
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 16
11-5
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Baltimore Orioles
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Baltimore Orioles
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 13
5-8
vs Baltimore Orioles
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 2, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7