Final Score: Cubs 3 - Pirates 2
Friday, July 24, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Cubs @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
57-45 Rating 1533
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.2
Pirates
53-50 Rating 1489
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Pirates
All-time wins 462 483
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.5
Last meeting 7 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Pirates
Games played 102 103
Avg runs scored 5.1 5.3
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.8
Win percentage 56% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 53%