Final Score: Cubs 11 - Pirates 0
Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Cubs @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
58-45 Rating 1535
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.3
Pirates
53-51 Rating 1487
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Pirates
All-time wins 463 483
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.5
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Pirates
Games played 103 104
Avg runs scored 5.1 5.2
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.8
Win percentage 56% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 52%