Final Score: Cubs 7 - Pirates 8
Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET

Cubs @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
59-45 Rating 1537
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.3
Pirates
53-52 Rating 1485
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Pirates
All-time wins 464 483
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.5 4.5
Last meeting 11 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Pirates
Games played 104 105
Avg runs scored 5.1 5.2
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.8
Win percentage 57% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 51%