Final Score: Cubs 7 - Cardinals 3
Monday, July 27, 2026 at 7:45 PM ET

Cubs @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
59-46 Rating 1535
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.2
Cardinals
53-52 Rating 1494
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Cardinals
All-time wins 469 480
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 6 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Cardinals
Games played 105 105
Avg runs scored 5.2 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.4
Win percentage 56% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 48%