Final Score: Tigers 8 - Cubs 6
Monday, July 20, 2026 at 8:05 PM ET

Tigers @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Tigers
46-53 Rating 1495
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.7
Cubs
56-43 Rating 1537
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Tigers Cubs
All-time wins 24 16
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.3 5.0
Last meeting 4 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Tigers Cubs
Games played 99 99
Avg runs scored 4.2 5.1
Avg runs conceded 3.9 4.4
Win percentage 46% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 59%