Final Score: Pirates 7 - Guardians 1
Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 1:40 PM ET

Pirates @ Guardians

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
51-48 Rating 1487
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Cleveland Guardians +0.6
Guardians
52-47 Rating 1522
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Guardians
All-time wins 27 32
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.4 4.7
Last meeting 3 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Guardians
Games played 99 99
Avg runs scored 5.3 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.0
Win percentage 52% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 52%