Final Score: Cubs 2 - Cardinals 3
Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 7:45 PM ET

Cubs @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
61-46 Rating 1539
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.3
Cardinals
53-54 Rating 1490
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Cardinals
All-time wins 471 480
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 4.3
Last meeting 10 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Cardinals
Games played 107 107
Avg runs scored 5.2 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.5
Win percentage 57% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 47%