Final Score: Phillies 0 - Cardinals 2
Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 7:45 PM ET

Phillies @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
64-56 Rating 1541
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.3
Cardinals
59-60 Rating 1491
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Cardinals
All-time wins 327 346
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.3
Last meeting 6 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Cardinals
Games played 120 119
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.4
Win percentage 53% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 47%