Final Score: Cubs 12 - Nationals 6
Wednesday, August 12, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET

Cubs @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
70-50 Rating 1548
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.6
Nationals
59-62 Rating 1465
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Nationals
All-time wins 322 339
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.1 4.3
Last meeting 8 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Nationals
Games played 120 121
Avg runs scored 5.2 5.4
Avg runs conceded 4.3 5.2
Win percentage 58% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 57% 43%