Final Score: Cubs 6 - Royals 4
Friday, August 7, 2026 at 8:10 PM ET

Cubs @ Royals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
67-49 Rating 1545
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.6
Royals
48-68 Rating 1463
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Royals
All-time wins 22 18
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.0 4.7
Last meeting 4 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Royals
Games played 116 116
Avg runs scored 5.1 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.3 5.0
Win percentage 58% 41%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 50%