Final Score: Royals 3 - Twins 4
Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 1:40 PM ET

Royals @ Twins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Royals
46-63 Rating 1470
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Minnesota Twins +0.3
Twins
54-55 Rating 1476
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Royals Twins
All-time wins 436 469
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.6
Last meeting 4 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Royals Twins
Games played 109 109
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.7
Avg runs conceded 5.0 5.0
Win percentage 42% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 36% 52%