Final Score: Twins 2 - Guardians 5
Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET
Twins @ Guardians
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Twins | Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 393 | 428 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.4 | 4.7 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 13 |
| Stat | Twins | Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 101 | 101 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.8 | 4.0 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.1 | 4.0 |
| Win percentage | 49% | 52% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 46% | 52% |
Recent Results
Twins
@ Cleveland Guardians
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: -9 · Total: 17
4-13
@ Chicago Cubs
Jul 19, 2026 · Margin: -9 · Total: 11
1-10
@ Chicago Cubs
Jul 18, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Chicago Cubs
Jul 17, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Los Angeles Angels
Jul 12, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Los Angeles Angels
Jul 11, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Los Angeles Angels
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Cleveland Guardians
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Cleveland Guardians
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Cleveland Guardians
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
Guardians
vs Minnesota Twins
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 17
13-4
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 19, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 18, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 18, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 12, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 11, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Minnesota Twins
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Minnesota Twins
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Minnesota Twins
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3