Final Score: Twins 10 - Guardians 6
Wednesday, July 22, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Twins @ Guardians

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Twins
49-53 Rating 1471
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Cleveland Guardians +0.8
Guardians
54-48 Rating 1523
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Twins Guardians
All-time wins 393 429
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 4.7
Last meeting 2 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Twins Guardians
Games played 102 102
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.0
Avg runs conceded 5.1 4.0
Win percentage 48% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 53%