Final Score: Cubs 5 - Mariners 6
Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:10 PM ET
Cubs @ Mariners
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Cubs | Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 18 | 10 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.9 | 4.0 |
| Last meeting | 6 | 14 |
| Stat | Cubs | Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 128 | 128 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.1 | 3.9 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.3 | 4.3 |
| Win percentage | 58% | 47% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 57% | 53% |
Recent Results
Cubs
vs Chicago White Sox
Aug 19, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
vs Chicago White Sox
Aug 18, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Chicago White Sox
Aug 17, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 16, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 15
4-11
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 15, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 14, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Washington Nationals
Aug 13, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 7
0-7
@ Washington Nationals
Aug 12, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 18
12-6
@ Washington Nationals
Aug 11, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 14
8-6
@ Kansas City Royals
Aug 9, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 12
10-2
Mariners
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 20, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 19, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 18, 2026 · Margin: -22 · Total: 22
0-22
@ Houston Astros
Aug 16, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Houston Astros
Aug 15, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 15
10-5
@ Houston Astros
Aug 14, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 17
7-10
@ New York Yankees
Aug 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
@ New York Yankees
Aug 12, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 15
5-10
@ New York Yankees
Aug 11, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 9, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4