Final Score: Guardians 0 - Red Sox 0
Tuesday, September 22, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET

Guardians @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Guardians
81-75 Rating 1514
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.4
Red Sox
84-72 Rating 1535
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Guardians

Scenario PlayoffsDivisionPennantTitle
Now 98%51%18%3%
If Win 100%70%23%6%
If Lose 97%37%15%3%

Red Sox

Scenario PlayoffsDivisionPennantTitle
Now 100%<1%11%3%
If Win 100%<1%11%3%
If Lose 100%<1%11%3%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Guardians Red Sox
All-time wins 295 347
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 5.1
Last meeting 4 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Guardians Red Sox
Games played 156 156
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.1 3.8
Win percentage 52% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 51%