Final Score: Guardians 5 - Orioles 9
Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 6:35 PM ET

Guardians @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Guardians
74-72 Rating 1509
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Baltimore Orioles +0.1
Orioles
70-76 Rating 1493
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Guardians Orioles
All-time wins 308 306
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.3 4.5
Last meeting 9 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Guardians Orioles
Games played 146 146
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.7
Win percentage 51% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 47%