Final Score: Red Sox 0 - Orioles 0
Friday, September 4, 2026 at 7:05 PM ET

Red Sox @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
28-39 Rating 1503
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Baltimore Orioles +0.2
Orioles
34-37 Rating 1498
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Orioles
All-time wins 489 396
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.0 4.4
Last meeting 2 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Orioles
Games played 67 71
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.8
Avg runs conceded 4.1 5.1
Win percentage 42% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 56%