Final Score: Mariners 8 - Red Sox 9
Monday, August 31, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET
Mariners @ Red Sox
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Mariners | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 197 | 268 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 5.2 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 1 |
| Stat | Mariners | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 137 | 137 |
| Avg runs scored | 3.9 | 4.4 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.4 | 3.8 |
| Win percentage | 47% | 54% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 39% | 52% |
Recent Results
Mariners
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 30, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 7
0-7
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 29, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 28, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 9
1-8
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 26, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0-6
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 25, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 24, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
vs Chicago Cubs
Aug 23, 2026 · Margin: -17 · Total: 21
2-19
vs Chicago Cubs
Aug 22, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Chicago Cubs
Aug 21, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 20, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
Red Sox
@ New York Yankees
Aug 30, 2026 · Margin: -15 · Total: 17
1-16
@ New York Yankees
Aug 29, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 11
2-9
@ New York Yankees
Aug 29, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 6
6-0
@ New York Yankees
Aug 28, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
@ Miami Marlins
Aug 26, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
@ Miami Marlins
Aug 25, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
@ Miami Marlins
Aug 24, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs San Francisco Giants
Aug 23, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs San Francisco Giants
Aug 22, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs San Francisco Giants
Aug 21, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4