Final Score: Red Sox 0 - Yankees 1
Friday, August 28, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET

Red Sox @ Yankees

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
73-60 Rating 1540
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.4
Yankees
75-58 Rating 1551
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Yankees
All-time wins 450 473
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.7 4.8
Last meeting 5 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Yankees
Games played 133 133
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.5
Avg runs conceded 3.8 3.7
Win percentage 55% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 58% 53%