Final Score: Yankees 4 - Blue Jays 3
Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 1:37 PM ET
Yankees @ Blue Jays
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Yankees | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 408 | 343 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.7 | 4.4 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 4 |
| Stat | Yankees | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 123 | 125 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.4 | 3.9 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.8 | 4.4 |
| Win percentage | 55% | 49% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 57% | 51% |
Recent Results
Yankees
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 15, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 14, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Seattle Mariners
Aug 13, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
vs Seattle Mariners
Aug 12, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 15
10-5
vs Seattle Mariners
Aug 11, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Atlanta Braves
Aug 9, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Atlanta Braves
Aug 8, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Atlanta Braves
Aug 7, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 5, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 4, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
Blue Jays
vs New York Yankees
Aug 15, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs New York Yankees
Aug 14, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 13, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 7
0-7
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 12, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 11, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 10, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 9, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 8, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 7, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Chicago Cubs
Aug 6, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3