Final Score: Yankees 1 - Blue Jays 3
Friday, August 14, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET

Yankees @ Blue Jays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
68-53 Rating 1549
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.1
Blue Jays
59-64 Rating 1517
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Blue Jays
All-time wins 408 341
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.8 4.4
Last meeting 8 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Blue Jays
Games played 121 123
Avg runs scored 4.5 3.9
Avg runs conceded 3.8 4.4
Win percentage 56% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 59% 49%