Final Score: Blue Jays 10 - Rays 5
Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
61-65 Rating 1519
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.4
Rays
75-49 Rating 1535
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Rays
All-time wins 218 271
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.7
Last meeting 3 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Rays
Games played 126 124
Avg runs scored 3.9 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.1
Win percentage 48% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 67%