Final Score: Blue Jays 6 - Rays 7
Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
62-65 Rating 1521
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.4
Rays
75-50 Rating 1533
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Rays
All-time wins 219 271
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 4.7
Last meeting 10 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Rays
Games played 127 125
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.2
Win percentage 49% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 66%