Final Score: Blue Jays 5 - Rays 1
Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 1:10 PM ET
Blue Jays @ Rays
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Blue Jays | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 219 | 272 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.4 | 4.7 |
| Last meeting | 6 | 7 |
| Stat | Blue Jays | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 128 | 126 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.0 | 4.6 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.4 | 4.2 |
| Win percentage | 48% | 60% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 47% | 66% |
Recent Results
Blue Jays
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 19, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 18, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 15
10-5
vs New York Yankees
Aug 16, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs New York Yankees
Aug 15, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs New York Yankees
Aug 14, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 13, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 7
0-7
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 12, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 11, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 10, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 9, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
Rays
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 18, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 15
5-10
vs Baltimore Orioles
Aug 17, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
vs Baltimore Orioles
Aug 16, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 12
2-10
vs Baltimore Orioles
Aug 15, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Baltimore Orioles
Aug 14, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Athletics
Aug 12, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
@ Athletics
Aug 11, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 16
12-4
@ Athletics
Aug 10, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 16
10-6
@ Seattle Mariners
Aug 9, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1