Final Score: Rays 3 - Orioles 5
Friday, August 21, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET
Rays @ Orioles
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Rays | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 250 | 238 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 4.7 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 7 | 6 |
| Stat | Rays | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 127 | 128 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.6 | 4.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.2 | 4.8 |
| Win percentage | 60% | 48% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 54% | 49% |
Recent Results
Rays
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 20, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 18, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 15
5-10
vs Baltimore Orioles
Aug 17, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
vs Baltimore Orioles
Aug 16, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 12
2-10
vs Baltimore Orioles
Aug 15, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Baltimore Orioles
Aug 14, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Athletics
Aug 12, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
@ Athletics
Aug 11, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 16
12-4
@ Athletics
Aug 10, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 16
10-6
Orioles
vs New York Yankees
Aug 20, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs New York Yankees
Aug 19, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs New York Yankees
Aug 18, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 17, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 16, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 12
10-2
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 15, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 14, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
@ Minnesota Twins
Aug 12, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 12
5-7
@ Minnesota Twins
Aug 11, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Minnesota Twins
Aug 10, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 14
5-9