Final Score: Orioles 6 - Rays 5
Friday, August 14, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET

Orioles @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Orioles
58-63 Rating 1495
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.7
Rays
74-46 Rating 1540
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Orioles Rays
All-time wins 235 249
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.7
Last meeting 11 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Orioles Rays
Games played 121 120
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.1
Win percentage 48% 62%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 69%