Final Score: Yankees 3 - Orioles 1
Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 6:35 PM ET

Yankees @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
69-55 Rating 1547
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.3
Orioles
61-64 Rating 1500
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Orioles
All-time wins 517 387
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.9 4.3
Last meeting 0 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Orioles
Games played 124 125
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.6
Avg runs conceded 3.8 4.8
Win percentage 56% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 58% 52%