Final Score: Orioles 10 - Rays 2
Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET
Orioles @ Rays
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Orioles | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 237 | 249 |
| Last 5 meetings | 5 | 0 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 4.7 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 3 |
| Stat | Orioles | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 123 | 122 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.5 | 4.6 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.8 | 4.1 |
| Win percentage | 49% | 61% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 46% | 67% |
Recent Results
Orioles
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 15, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 14, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
@ Minnesota Twins
Aug 12, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 12
5-7
@ Minnesota Twins
Aug 11, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Minnesota Twins
Aug 10, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 14
5-9
@ Texas Rangers
Aug 9, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 15
10-5
@ Texas Rangers
Aug 8, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Texas Rangers
Aug 7, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Los Angeles Angels
Aug 6, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Los Angeles Angels
Aug 5, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
Rays
vs Baltimore Orioles
Aug 15, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Baltimore Orioles
Aug 14, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Athletics
Aug 12, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
@ Athletics
Aug 11, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 16
12-4
@ Athletics
Aug 10, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 16
10-6
@ Seattle Mariners
Aug 9, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Seattle Mariners
Aug 8, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Seattle Mariners
Aug 7, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Colorado Rockies
Aug 5, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ Colorado Rockies
Aug 4, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 16
9-7