Final Score: Mariners 8 - Red Sox 3
Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET

Mariners @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mariners
65-74 Rating 1504
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.6
Red Sox
75-64 Rating 1537
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mariners Red Sox
All-time wins 198 269
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 5.2
Last meeting 9 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Mariners Red Sox
Games played 139 139
Avg runs scored 3.9 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.4 3.9
Win percentage 47% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 51%