Guardians @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Guardians 0 - Red Sox 1
Wednesday, September 23, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET
Cleveland
Guardians
82-75 Rating 1516
Form: WWWWW
0 – 1
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.4
Boston
Red Sox
84-73 Rating 1533
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Guardians Red Sox
All-time wins 296 347
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 5.1
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Guardians Red Sox
Games played 157 157
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.1 3.8
Win percentage 52% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 50%