Guardians @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Guardians 1 - Red Sox 0
Thursday, September 24, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET
Cleveland
Guardians
82-76 Rating 1514
Form: WWWWL
1 – 0
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.4
Boston
Red Sox
85-73 Rating 1535
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Guardians Red Sox
All-time wins 296 348
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 5.1
Last meeting 0 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Guardians Red Sox
Games played 158 158
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.1 3.8
Win percentage 52% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 51%