Final Score: Guardians 0 - Royals 0
Friday, September 25, 2026 at 7:40 PM ET
Guardians @ Royals
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
Guardians
| Scenario | Playoffs | Division | Pennant | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 100% | 61% | 22% | 5% |
| If Win | 100% | 81% | 24% | 9% |
| If Lose | 100% | 43% | 22% | 6% |
Royals
| Scenario | Playoffs | Division | Pennant | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| If Win | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Stat | Guardians | Royals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 438 | 383 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.7 | 4.1 |
| Last meeting | 11 | 1 |
| Stat | Guardians | Royals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 159 | 159 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.1 | 4.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.1 | 4.9 |
| Win percentage | 52% | 43% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 54% | 51% |
Recent Results
Guardians
@ Boston Red Sox
Sep 24, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
@ Boston Red Sox
Sep 23, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
@ Boston Red Sox
Sep 22, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Athletics
Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
vs Athletics
Sep 19, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 18
12-6
vs Athletics
Sep 18, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Chicago White Sox
Sep 16, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Chicago White Sox
Sep 15, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
vs Chicago White Sox
Sep 14, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
@ Minnesota Twins
Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
Royals
vs Chicago White Sox
Sep 24, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 10
1-9
vs Chicago White Sox
Sep 23, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Chicago White Sox
Sep 22, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 25
11-14
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Sep 19, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Sep 18, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 13
5-8
@ Houston Astros
Sep 17, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Houston Astros
Sep 16, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Houston Astros
Sep 15, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Boston Red Sox
Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4