Cubs @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Cubs 6 - Red Sox 2
Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 3:05 PM ET
Chicago
Cubs
88-73 Rating 1531
Form: LLWLL
6 – 2
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.3
Boston
Red Sox
87-74 Rating 1536
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Red Sox
All-time wins 14 15
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.6 5.1
Last meeting 0 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Red Sox
Games played 161 161
Avg runs scored 5.2 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.4 3.8
Win percentage 55% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 51%