Marlins @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Marlins 8 - Cubs 2
Tuesday, September 22, 2026 at 7:40 PM ET
Miami
Marlins
76-80 Rating 1485
Form: WWLLL
8 – 2
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.8
Chicago
Cubs
87-69 Rating 1538
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Cubs
All-time wins 121 128
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.2 4.7
Last meeting 10 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Cubs
Games played 156 156
Avg runs scored 4.4 5.4
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.4
Win percentage 49% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 58%