Final Score: Pirates 3 - Cubs 4
Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 2:20 PM ET
Pirates @ Cubs
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Pirates | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 484 | 465 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 12 |
| Stat | Pirates | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 148 | 148 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.8 | 5.4 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.6 | 4.4 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 55% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 47% | 58% |
Recent Results
Pirates
@ Chicago Cubs
Sep 11, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 14
2-12
@ Chicago White Sox
Sep 10, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ Chicago White Sox
Sep 9, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Chicago White Sox
Sep 8, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 12
9-3
vs Los Angeles Angels
Sep 6, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
vs Los Angeles Angels
Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs Los Angeles Angels
Sep 4, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
vs San Francisco Giants
Sep 3, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs San Francisco Giants
Sep 2, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs San Francisco Giants
Sep 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 25
13-12
Cubs
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Sep 11, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 14
12-2
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 9, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 14
6-8
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 8, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 7, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Miami Marlins
Sep 6, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 13
3-10
@ Miami Marlins
Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
@ Miami Marlins
Sep 4, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 2, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 14
5-9
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 1, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 13
4-9