Final Score: Cubs 6 - Marlins 1
Friday, September 4, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET

Cubs @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
79-62 Rating 1537
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.2
Marlins
71-70 Rating 1492
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Marlins
All-time wins 126 120
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.7 4.2
Last meeting 2 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Marlins
Games played 141 141
Avg runs scored 5.3 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.3
Win percentage 56% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 61%